Monday, May 21, 2018

Season of dialogue

At the highest level of the world system, the moment seems to be one of relative success for Trump and Netanyahu, and conciliatory gestures from Putin and Xi.

Putin's new administration retains "Atlanticists" like Medvedev, and he hosted Netanyahu without rancor. China has been reaching out to Japan and India; there will be a working group on Japanese participation in Belt and Road. Putin just had an informal summit with Modi (arms sales, North-South economic corridor), and will meet with Abe later this week (disputed islands).

It was the anniversary of Israel's founding and Palestine's dispossession. The US withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal (so now it sanctions Russia, Iran, North Korea), but the other parties - Iran, the European powers, Russia and China - vowed to keep it going. Israel killed Palestinian marchers at the Gaza border (and was condemned most prominently by Turkey), and bombed Iranian forces in Syria even as Netanyahu visited Russia for (world war 2) Victory Day.

The Korean leaders met. Kim Jong Un has begun to resemble just another hobnobbing world leader - two trips to China, an excursion to Singapore if the summit with Trump goes ahead.

Scattered smaller countries had their national dramas. Malaysia had its unlikely revolution, Armenia replaced a president, Iraq strengthened the nationalist Muqtada Sadr, Maduro hung on in Venezuela.

It's not new, but I have been wanting to mention the African free trade agreement concluded in late March. All the big Asian powers will want to get involved.